POLITICAL TRIGGERDECK 🎲
Seven dependent stages. Transparent conditional math. Explicit sensitivity. A political research and satire instrument — not a forecast, allegation, or account of actual coordination.
⚖️ Hypothetical model🧮 Wolfram-verified baseline🗳️ Political satire / audit education01 / Conditional stages
Each stage probability is conditioned on all previous stages proceeding. Adjust independently or apply a global percentage-point shock.
02 / Sensitivity curve
03 / Sampling seven dice
Each die only rolls if the previous stage succeeds; downstream stages lock after a halt.
Branches: proceed / lawful check / unresolved
Illustrative split of non-proceed outcomes: 50% lawful check and 50% unresolved. These are modeling assumptions only; neither branch implies wrongdoing. Branch shares exactly the same full-path probability.
Source-class ledger
The U.S. general election date is November 3, 2026. This date does not provide empirical probabilities for our stages. USA.gov.
The values 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%, 50%, 40%, and 30% are user-editable thought-experiment inputs; no population study supports them.
0.30 × 0.40 × 0.50 × 0.60 × 0.50 × 0.40 × 0.30 = 0.00216 (0.2160%). Independently computed using Wolfram Language.
Horror / thriller visual vocabulary and stage names are fictional rhetorical framing; no person is accused by the model.
Any real-world assertion must be evaluated against dated primary sources and opposing evidence before promotion to DOCUMENTED.
Private research worksheet
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